Strategy Backtesting & Validation

Our options arbitrage strategies undergo rigorous backtesting using historical market data to validate performance assumptions and risk parameters before live deployment.

Backtesting Methodology

  • Historical Data Coverage: Multi-year datasets spanning various market conditions including bull markets, bear markets, and high volatility periods

  • Transaction Cost Inclusion: All backtests incorporate realistic trading costs, slippage, and execution delays

  • Risk-Adjusted Analysis: Performance metrics include Sharpe ratios, Sortino ratios, maximum drawdown, and volatility measurements

  • Stress Testing: Models tested against extreme market scenarios and black swan events

Latest Performance Metrics (May 2024 - May 2025)

Our most recent backtesting demonstrates:

  • Sharpe Ratio: 2.96 - indicating strong risk-adjusted returns

  • Sortino Ratio: 3.73 - demonstrating excellent downside risk management

  • Maximum Drawdown: -3.25% - well within conservative risk parameters

  • Consistent Monthly Performance: Positive returns in all 13 months tested

Monthly Returns Breakdown

Month
Return %

May 2024

4.7%

Jun 2024

3.5%

Jul 2024

1.3%

Aug 2024

0.4%

Sep 2024

0.8%

Oct 2024

1.8%

Nov 2024

2.7%

Dec 2024

0.2%

Jan 2025

1.4%

Feb 2025

3.2%

Mar 2025

3.1%

Apr 2025

1.1%

May 2025

0.9%

Key Validation Results

  • Consistency: 13 consecutive months of positive returns

  • Risk Management: Maximum drawdown never exceeded 4%

  • Strategy Robustness: Strong performance across varying market conditions

  • Scalability: Results remain consistent as strategy capacity increases

Continuous Model Refinement

Machine learning models are continuously updated and backtested against new data to ensure:

  • Adaptation to evolving market conditions

  • Maintenance of predictive accuracy

  • Risk parameter optimization

  • Strategy capacity assessment as we scale

Last updated